Vladimir Caramaschi News
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The Ibovespa retreated from a three- week high as a report that showed the pace of Chinese manufacturing slowed last month rekindled concern that growth will falter in Brazil’s top trading partner.
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The intensity of Brazil’s interest rate increases will depend on future data, central bank director Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva said today, causing traders to boost bets on tighter monetary policy.
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Brazil shorter-term swap rates rose, erasing earlier declines after a central bank director said policy makers had no disagreement on whether to raise borrowing costs as they debated the timing this week.
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Brazil’s economy has begun decelerating and should expand by 4 percent this year, less than its potential of 4.5 percent, said Vladimir Caramaschi , chief economist of Credit Agricole ’s Brazilian unit.
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Brazilian swap rates rose as Sao Paulo’s inflation accelerated in December more than economists forecast, spurring speculation that the central bank will raise borrowing costs from record lows.
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Brazil’s real tumbled to a three- year low on speculation weaker-than-forecast economic growth may prompt the central bank to allow the currency to weaken further to support exporters.
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Brazil swap rates climbed to a two- week high on concern the government won’t reach its target for energy price cuts, forcing policy makers to boost borrowing costs to curb inflation.
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The highest yields on Brazilian interest-rate futures contracts in 13 months suggest traders are “exaggerating” the inflation outlook in Latin America’s biggest economy, Credit Agricole SA said.
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Brazil’s central bank said it will continue with its strategy of raising interest rates for a “sufficiently long” period even as the country’s inflation outlook shows signs of improving. Yields rose.
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Brazil’s swap rates fell after the central bank’s economic activity index rose in December less than forecast, boosting speculation that policy makers will delay raising borrowing costs to control inflation.
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