Solange Srour News
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Brazil’s swap rates fell as signs of faltering industrial output spurred speculation that the central bank will keep borrowing costs at a record low to support the economy even as inflation accelerated.
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Brazilian consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in nine months in January on higher transport, food and drink costs, reinforcing bets the central bank will miss its year-end inflation target as the economy rebounds.
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Brazilian interest-rate forecasts by economists and traders are diverging by the most this year. Recent history shows traders are more accurate predictors of the country’s monetary policy.
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Brazilian central bank President Alexandre Tombini missed the first milepost in his plan to bring down inflation and cut interest rates at the same time.
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Carlyle Group LP, the U.S. private- equity firm that acquired three Brazilian retailers in the past year, is hunting for more after investing $1.7 billion in the country since 2009.
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Brazil’s swap rates rose after the central bank said government efforts to revive growth through tax breaks and increased expenditures have stoked inflation, damping speculation borrowing costs will be further reduced.
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Brazilian consumer prices rose less than economists expected through mid-February, taking the mid-month inflation rate below 6 percent for the first time since December 2010. Interest-rate futures yields fell, as traders increased bets on rate cuts.
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Brazil’s inflation quickened to the fastest pace in five months in September as food prices pushed the annual rate above the government’s target.
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Yields on most Brazilian interest- rate futures contracts maturing in November or later tumbled on speculation the central bank will cut interest rates to shore up growth as the global economy slows.
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Rising food prices prompted Brazilian economists to raise their 2010 inflation forecast for a fifth straight week, according to a central bank survey.
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