Paul Cavey News
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China’s stocks fell the most in almost a week after a preliminary report on manufacturing signaled a sixth month of contraction and officials tightened standards for small companies listed on the ChiNext Board.
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China’s manufacturing may shrink for a sixth month in April, maintaining pressure on officials to adopt more policies to stimulate economic growth, a survey of companies showed.
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China’s inflation accelerated more than forecast in March on a pickup in food prices, signaling that policy makers may exercise caution in adding stimulus to boost growth.
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Paul Cavey , China economist at Maquarie Securities Ltd. in Hong Kong, comments on the People’s Bank of China’s decision to raise banks’ required deposit reserve ratio today. The central bank said it will raise the ratio by 50 basis points effective Dec. 20.
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China’s auto sales grew at a slower pace in June and a services-industry index slid to a 15-month low, adding to signs that the economy leading the world recovery is cooling.
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China is likely to reverse policies cracking down on the property market because they will put the nation’s 8 percent economic growth target for this year at risk, Macquarie Securities Ltd. said.
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China’s manufacturing may expand at the slowest pace in 11 months in June, as output growth stalls and export orders drop, a preliminary purchasing managers’ index showed.
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China’s economic momentum has peaked and interest rates won’t rise until June “at the earliest” after an increase in banks’ reserve requirements and measures to cool the property market, UBS AG said.
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China raised interest rates for the second time since mid-October to counter the fastest inflation in more than two years and more moves may follow.
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China’s home prices may slump 30 percent as local authorities implement government measures to crack down on property speculation, according to brokerages including China Jianyin Investment Securities Co.
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