Kingsmill Bond News
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Russian equities retreated for the first time in four days, posting the smallest price swings in almost two years, as OAO Sberbank fell and U.S. lawmakers continued budget talks.
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Russia must lower the average oil price it needs to balance the budget by more than 30 percent to attract investors and reduce risk, according to Citigroup Inc.
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Citigroup Inc. hired four former Troika Dialog bankers, including Kingsmill Bond , the Moscow brokerage’s chief strategist, in its second Russian hiring spree in six months.
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Investors should buy European stocks with sales in Russia as the oil-producing nation’s economic growth will outperform the debt-stricken euro region’s, according to Citigroup Inc.
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Russia’s winning bid to host soccer’s 2018 World Cup is driving the biggest bond rally in five months for its largest steelmakers as the government prepares to spend at least $9.6 billion on stadiums and expand airports and roads.
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Russian stocks will surge next year, sending the RTS Index up 38 percent, as the country wins World Trade Organization membership and the government reduces control of the economy, according to Troika Dialog.
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Investors are too bearish on Russian equities and should bet on a rally using options as Vladimir Putin will probably win the presidential election and implement reforms to stay in power, according to Societe Generale SA.
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Russian stocks fell to the lowest in more than a week, after oil, the nation’s biggest export earner, declined and as investors await a possible announcement on more stimulus from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
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Russian anger over fraud allegations in last week’s elections may swell a demonstration to the biggest in Moscow since Prime Minister Vladimir Putin rose to power more than a decade ago.
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A victory for Mitt Romney in this year’s U.S. presidential elections may drive Russian stocks down as much as 10 percent, according to Citigroup Inc.
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