Kaushik Das News
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India’s onshore rupee forwards rose on speculation inflation slower than 7 percent will allow the central bank to reduce interest rates at a March 19 review, boosting an economy expanding at the slowest pace in a decade.
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India’s central bank moved to raise interest rates yesterday in an unscheduled announcement, underscoring policy makers’ concern that inflation will accelerate in the world’s second-most populous country.
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India’s rupee will strengthen 3.2 percent in the next three months as government sales of stakes in state companies and relatively high bond yields attract funds from abroad, Deutsche Bank AG said.
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Indian central bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao’s “cautious” approach to raising interest rates runs the risk of causing the economy to overheat, Deutsche Bank AG said.
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Kaushik Das, an economist at Deutsche Bank AG, comments on India’s monetary policy in a research note released today.
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India’s central bank chief said policy makers need to reduce the nation’s inflation rate by about 2 percentage points, underscoring limited scope to address weakening growth through interest-rate cuts.
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Sri Lanka said it will devalue its rupee and cut taxes to spur economic growth as Europe’s debt crisis spoils export demand.
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India’s 10-year bonds gained, pushing the yield to a one-month low, on speculation the central bank will cut interest rates after inflation unexpectedly eased in June.
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Indian bonds are outperforming debt of the largest emerging markets, cutting yields from a three- year high, as analysts predict the central bank will abandon interest-rate increases in response to a manufacturing slump.
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India’s benchmark bond completed its first weekly advance this month on speculation slowing economic growth will prompt the central bank to cut interest rates next week.
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