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The Czech central bank will seek clues in its new economic outlook today about whether currency sales are needed to stimulate the economy after cutting interest rates to effectively zero failed to end a recession.
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The koruna rebounded from its weakest level in 16 months after the Czech Republic unexpectedly posted its highest current-account surplus on record.
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The Czech koruna weakened the most in more than six months as central bank Vice-Governor Mojmir Hampl said inflation isn’t a risk, adding to speculation that the bank will stimulate the economy with currency sales.
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The Czech central bank kept interest rates near zero for a third meeting as policy makers debate whether to stimulate an economy racked by a record-long recession through a weaker koruna.
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The koruna will probably strengthen to near the highest level in 2009 against the euro as the Czech economy recovers and concerns ease that banks need more capital, boosting demand for riskier assets, Komercni Banka AS said.
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Traders are ignoring Czech National Bank Governor Miroslav Singer’s threat to intervene for the first time in a decade to weaken the koruna and revive the economy as the currency extends the biggest rally in emerging markets after Hungary’s forint.
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The Czech koruna may strengthen further as traders test the central bank’s resolve to take steps to support the economy by weakening the currency, said Jan Vejmelek, chief economist at Komercni Banka AS.
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Record low Czech bond yields are prompting the Finance Ministry to consider raising funding for 2013 as early as in September to help cushion the eastern European Union nation from the euro-region’s debt crisis.
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Czech bond yields may rise to the highest since October 2009 as the government ramps up debt sales to finance the budget deficit, according to Raiffeisenbank AS.
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The Czech Republic has further delayed its planned sale of bonds in euros until at least September because of the July and August holidays.