Treasuries were set for the biggest weekly decline since April before a government report that economists say will show the U.S. is adding enough jobs to allow the Federal Reserve to keep reducing bond purchases.
Treasuries rallied, sending 30-year bond yields to a 10-month low, as mixed economic signals bolstered haven demand before a jobs report tomorrow. U.S. stocks were little changed after a three-day rally.
Inflation will stabilize without sliding into deflation after the Federal Reserve’s program to spur growth by purchasing $600 billion of Treasuries concludes tomorrow, according to Nomura Holdings Inc.’s George Goncalves.
A drop in the price of lumber may signal the yields on the 10-year Treasury note will fall as the Federal Reserve ends its $600 billion Treasury-purchase program in June, according to Nomura Holdings Inc.
Treasuries rose, pushing 10-year note yields to the lowest in three months, after a private report showed U.S. manufacturing slowed more than forecast in January, adding to questions about the strength of the economic recovery.
Nomura Holdings Inc. advised betting that U.S. two-year interest-rate swap spreads will widen on renewed concern Europe’s sovereign debt crisis will increase demand for dollar-denominated funding in the region.
The groundwork for preventing a U.S. Treasury default from causing a cataclysmic breakdown of the plumbing of the global financial system was laid after the last debt-ceiling crisis in 2011 -- and is still a work in progress.