Elga Bartsch News
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German investor confidence unexpectedly rose to a three-year high in March, suggesting Europe’s largest economy will return to growth.
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A resurgence of the debt crisis that scarred the euro-area over the past 3 1/2 years is the biggest threat facing Germany in an election year, policy makers and leading economists said.
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Mario Draghi is discovering that confidence in the euro area comes at a cost.
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Bond markets are exaggerating the risk of a Greek default, with historical data showing that widening bond spreads led to a debt restructuring in only 20 percent of cases, according to Morgan Stanley’s chief European economist Elga Bartsch .
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The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged even as a stronger currency threatens the euro area’s recovery from recession.
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The Nordic region’s four largest economies will outperform the euro area and the U.K. this year as they cope better with the fallout from the European debt crisis, Morgan Stanley forecast.
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Sweden’s unemployment rate unexpectedly fell in December as domestic demand supported the labor market amid job cuts by exporters in the Nordic region’s largest economy.
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Mario Draghi might be spared from having to make the thorniest of interest-rate cuts.
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German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told students last week he was confident the country’s role in the European Stability Mechanism would be approved by its highest court. Morgan Stanley’s Elga Bartsch says there is a 40 percent chance he is wrong.
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Four months after Standard & Poor’s stripped the U.S. of its AAA credit rating and said the world’s biggest economy was no longer the safest of borrowers, dollar- denominated financial assets are doing nothing but appreciating.
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