Federal Reserve officials agree that they must retool their guidance on when to consider raising interest rates. Chair Janet Yellen’s task is to forge a consensus on the new message from their disparate views.
Five years into the era of quantitative easing pioneered by departing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, two economists say they’ve measured how much extra stimulus the bond purchases provide when the main interest rate is already near zero.
The U.S. will borrow less money this year than at any time since 2008, validating the nation’s decision to go deeper into debt to combat the financial crisis as faster growth shrinks the deficit, Wall Street’s biggest bond dealers say.
Unemployment in the U.S. may fall faster than expected as baby boomers enter retirement, reducing the portion of people in the workforce, according to Drew Matus, senior U.S. economist at UBS Securities LLC.