Doug Porter News
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Canada’s dollar fell to a more than two-month low against its U.S. counterpart amid speculation growth in the world’s largest economy would spur the Federal Reserve to reduce stimulus, known as quantitative easing.
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Doug Porter, chief economist at the Bank of Montreal, said the Canadian dollar is overvalued by 5 percent to 10 percent given levels of commodity prices.
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The Canadian dollar gained for the first time in five days versus its U.S. counterpart after American industrial production dropped in April by the most in eight months.
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An improving economic outlook may ease pressure on the Bank of Canada’s newly appointed chief to abandon the only tightening bias in the Group of Seven.
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Canada’s inflation rate slowed to the bottom of the central bank’s target range last month as gasoline prices dropped, further evidence that slack is building up in the world’s 11th-largest economy.
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Canadian employers unexpectedly cut jobs in January while home builders slowed the pace of new construction to the least since 2009, suggesting a languid start to the new year for the country’s economy.
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The Canadian dollar strengthened to a six-week high versus its U.S. counterpart before employment data tomorrow forecast to show job gains last month in the U.S. and Canada.
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Canada’s economy showed signs of strength today with gains in employment and housing, ending a week where the central bank delayed a plan to raise interest rates and the finance minister said slower growth is sapping revenue needed to curb deficits.
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Canadian existing home sales rose 2.4 percent in March from the previous month on gains in Vancouver and Toronto, a realtor group said.
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Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will say in a budget today how he plans to cope with a weakening revenue outlook that is hampering efforts to eliminate the country’s deficit before the 2015 election.
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