Intervention by the Bank of Japan today may not change market fundamentals enough to weaken the yen, according to Derek Halpenny, European head of currency research at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in London.
Currency traders are more bullish on the pound that at any time in the past three years as the U.K.’s booming property market fuels speculation the Bank of England is getting closer to raising interest rates.
The yen had the biggest monthly loss since January versus the dollar on speculation that the fastest Japanese inflation in 15 years will lead Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to press on with unprecedented stimulus measures.
The yen strengthened to a five-week high against the dollar as the partial shutdown of the U.S. government showed no signs of ending, fueling speculation there will be another standoff over raising the debt ceiling.
The dollar will rise to a level against the euro last reached in September as U.S. economic growth picks up and expectations for central bank rate increases elsewhere wane, according to Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd.