David Kostin News
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Ten-year Treasury yields reached the highest level since March as retail sales unexpectedly rose, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was little changed at a record level. The dollar rallied and oil fell for a third day.
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The two biggest U.S. equity bears in 2012 see the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rising more than 12 percent this year to at least 1,600, as strong economic data point to higher corporate earnings.
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Global stocks beat all other investments for a second quarter, the first back-to-back outperformance since 2009, as accelerating economic growth pushed equities past commodities, bonds and the dollar.
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Companies sensitive to changes in the yield on 10-year Treasury notes are leading the market, suggesting that some equity investors have been premature in anticipating higher interest rates.
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U.S. tax increases and spending cuts set for the beginning of next year may be averted by lawmakers in Washington, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief U.S. equity strategist David Kostin said.
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The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may fall to 1,100 if the U.S. debt-reduction supercommittee fails to reach an agreement on budget cuts, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s David Kostin.
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Volatility will deter investors from moving into stocks from bonds in 2013 even as dividend returns exceed fixed-income yields, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s U.S. equity strategist.
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A possible stalemate around U.S. fiscal tightening and a slowing economy will pull stocks down this year, even as equities may gain in the longer term, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief U.S. equity strategist said.
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Equity markets will probably climb 8 percent a year for the next decade, even though economic concern will subdue returns in 2012, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief U.S. equity strategist said.
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The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will end next year at 1,250 as a stagnating U.S. economy damps valuation increases for equities, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s David Kostin said.
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