Allen Sinai News
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Deja vu it ain’t.
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The U.S. once again may be emerging as a main engine for global growth -- and at an opportune time, as Europe slides into recession and China’s economy decelerates.
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In his six years as Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben S. Bernanke has sometimes proved too sanguine about the U.S. economy, declaring the impact of bad subprime mortgages on the financial markets “contained” in 2007 and being too optimistic about growth last year. Now that employment is accelerating, economists wonder if the central bank again will prove to be mistaken, this time by being pessimistic about the outlook.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke finally may be catching a break: His easy-money policies are showing signs of speeding up the economic rebound three years after he cut interest rates to zero.
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Global companies from NEC Corp. to PepsiCo Inc. and AstraZeneca Plc are chopping jobs more than three times faster than in 2011 as they brace for recession in Europe and a slowdown in China.
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The Federal Reserve’s statement yesterday that inflation is below levels consistent with the central bank’s mandate for price stability means it’s time to buy gold, said Allen Sinai , chief global economist at Decision Economics Inc. in New York.
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The strength of the U.S. recovery depends on whether Barclays Capital Inc. economist Dean Maki or Decision Economics Inc.’s Allen Sinai is right about business investment translating into hiring.
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The U.S. has likely dodged a recession for now, even though it’s too early to sound the all- clear for the economy.
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As a Princeton University professor, Ben Bernanke castigated the Bank of Japan in 2000 for a “case of self-induced paralysis” that led to a decade of stagnation. Now, the Federal Reserve chairman may be allowing the U.S. central bank to fall into the same trap after its second round of quantitative easing ends this month.
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The global economy is showing signs of withstanding a European recession triggered by the debt debacle in Greece.
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